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Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Station Park, Forfar
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Flatman C.
15' Event
Mailer A.
Assist: Rennie M.
60'
Sub
MacLean R. In: Brown A.
Out: MacLean R.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Forfar Athletic and Kelty Hearts finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forfar Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Forfar Athletic
15%
Draws
42%
Kelty Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forfar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kelty Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 11%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Kelty Hearts
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 1
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
1:0
Aug 23, 2022 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
1:2
Apr 23, 2022 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Mailer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kelty Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 29 / 100
Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forfar Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Forfar Athletic scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Kelty Hearts's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Kelty Hearts
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
13 Oct
Ross County
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2
Elgin City
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 7

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
Stirling
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 10 6 2 2 23:9 20
2 Clyde 10 6 2 2 23:17 20
3 Elgin City 10 5 2 3 27:17 17
4 Spartans 10 4 3 3 22:18 15
5 Kelty Hearts 10 4 0 6 14:20 12
6 Dumbarton 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
7 Forfar Athletic 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Stirling 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
9 Edinburgh City 10 4 3 3 20:18 10
10 Annan 10 3 0 7 10:17 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)