Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers

Canada Canada

Championship Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Forge FC Logo

Forge FC

4 - 0
FT
HFX Wanderers Logo

HFX Wanderers

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Wright B.
Penalty Missed
24'
Nimick D.
44' Event
Borges T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Forge FC
30%
Draws
28%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forge FC lately — more wins on the board than HFX Wanderers.
  • Win probability leans Forge FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Forge FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Forge FC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forge FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 16%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Forge FC
0:0
Jun 10, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers
1:0
May 9, 2026 Championship
Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers
4:0
May 2, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Forge FC
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Batisse A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

HFX Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 48 / 100
HFX Wanderers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Forge FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

HFX Wanderers let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS HFX Wanderers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
01 Sept
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1
Forge FC
Page 1 of 7

HFX Wanderers

(Away)
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
30 Aug
Pacific FC
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -