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Forge FC vs Vancouver FC

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Campbell T.
Assist: Bah E.
45' Event
Bah E.
45'
Smyrniotis B.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Forge FC and Vancouver FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forge FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Forge FC
22%
Draws
18%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forge FC come out ahead of Vancouver FC on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Forge FC taking it.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Forge FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 68%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Vancouver FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Forge FC
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Forge FC
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krutzen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bah E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 68 / 100
Vancouver FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Vancouver FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forge FC scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Vancouver FC conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Forge FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS Vancouver FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
12 Jul
Forge FC
2 : 1
CS Saint-Laurent
08 Jul
CS Saint-Laurent
1 : 1
Forge FC
05 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2
Forge FC
01 Jul
Forge FC
3 : 2
Vancouver FC
10 Jun
Forge FC
1 : 0
HFX Wanderers
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Vancouver FC

(Away)
17 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5
Vancouver FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2
CF Montreal
04 Jul
Vancouver FC
4 : 0
Inter Toronto
01 Jul
Forge FC
3 : 2
Vancouver FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forge FC12101120:731
2Cavalry1283123:627
3Atletico Ottawa1353519:2318
4Vancouver FC1352620:1517
5HFX Wanderers1444618:2116
6Inter Toronto1134414:2213
7Supra du Quebec1132615:2111
8Pacific FC1203913:273
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)