Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 Stadio Tullo Morgagni

Forli FC

3 - 0

Aglianese Calcio

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Greselin S.

43'

Greselin S.

90'

Bonandi T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Forli FC in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forli FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Forli FC

30%

Draws

34%

Aglianese Calcio

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forli FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Aglianese Calcio have won more games recently than Forli FC.
36% — that's where the model lands on Forli FC taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Forli FC Clean Sheet 20%

Aglianese Calcio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Forli FC	Aglianese Calcio
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	9	8
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Aglianese Calcio vs Forli FC

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group D

Forli FC vs Aglianese Calcio

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group D

Aglianese Calcio vs Forli FC

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group D

Forli FC vs Aglianese Calcio

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group D

Aglianese Calcio vs Forli FC

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Greselin S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bonandi T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Aglianese Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 36 / 100

Aglianese Calcio 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Forli FC Aglianese Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forli FC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Forli FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aglianese Calcio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Forli FC VS -

0.5 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carpi	32	21	5	6	66:31	68
2	Ravenna	32	19	9	4	56:13	66
3	Corticella	32	18	3	11	59:40	57
4	Victor San Marino	32	17	6	9	44:37	57
5	Lentigione	32	16	8	8	49:31	56
6	Forli FC	32	16	7	9	48:35	55
7	Prato	32	12	8	12	37:41	44
8	Sangiuliano City	32	12	8	12	32:37	44
9	Fanfulla	32	11	10	11	28:35	43
10	Sant'Angelo	32	11	8	13	47:44	41
11	Aglianese Calcio	32	11	8	13	32:39	41
12	Imolese	32	12	6	14	31:33	40
13	Sammaurese	32	11	4	17	37:48	37
14	SCD Progresso	32	11	4	17	27:43	37
15	San Donnino	32	5	10	17	32:58	25
16	Certaldo	32	6	6	20	22:55	24
17	Mezzolara	32	5	6	21	23:50	21
18	Pistoiese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0