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Forli FC vs Giacomense

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Lega Pro C2/A 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Forli FC play Giacomense in the Lega Pro C2/A 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Forli FC averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Giacomense averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Forli FC won 3, Giacomense won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 27, 2013 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Forli FC and 1.19 for Giacomense. This points to a Forli FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Forli FC
16%
Draws
38%
Giacomense
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Forli FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Forli FC picked up more points recently compared to Giacomense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 20%
Giacomense Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forli FC Giacomense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Lega Pro C2/A
Forli FC vs Giacomense
2:1
Sep 23, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Giacomense vs Forli FC
1:2
Aug 29, 2012 Coppa Italia Serie C
Giacomense vs Forli FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrascu S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Giacomense Compare

Top Goalscorer Draghetti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 45 / 100
Giacomense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forli FC Giacomense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Forli FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Forli FC attacking → ← attacking Giacomense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forli FC scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Giacomense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Forli FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Giacomense lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 38
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pro Patria34188864:3762
2Savona341861051:3360
3Venezia341611758:4759
4Bassano Virtus341610854:3458
5Monza341712557:3457
6Renate341831361:4657
7FC Castiglione3414101039:2952
8Alessandria3414101041:3052
9Mantova341391245:5248
10Forli FC341391248:3347
11Giacomense341281444:4844
12Santarcangelo3410131139:4143
13Bellaria Igea3410121241:5042
14Rimini348131337:3737
15Vallee d'Aoste34991637:6135
16Fano34881842:6831
17Casale34781932:5124
18Milazzo340112318:779