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Forli FC vs Livorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forli
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forli FC host Livorno in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Forli FC at 1.25 goals for, 1.39 against; Livorno at 1.32 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Forli FC have won 1 to Livorno's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.50) back Livorno to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Forli FC
35%
Draws
35%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Livorno have won more games recently than Forli FC.
  • Forli FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 16%
Livorno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forli FC Livorno
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Livorno
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Forli FC
2:3
May 18, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Livorno vs Forli FC
3:1
Aug 7, 2005 Coppa Italia
Livorno vs Forli FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 36 / 100
Livorno 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forli FC Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Forli FC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Livorno let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Forli FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Forli FC VS Livorno
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forli FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Livorno

(Away)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)