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Forli FC vs Sassari Torres

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Tullo Morgagni
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forli FC play Sassari Torres in the Serie C - Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Forli FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Sassari Torres averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Forli FC won 3, Sassari Torres won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Forli FC and 1.38 for Sassari Torres. This points to a Sassari Torres double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Forli FC
28%
Draws
39%
Sassari Torres
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sassari Torres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Forli FC picked up more points recently compared to Sassari Torres.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 17%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forli FC Sassari Torres
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Sassari Torres
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Forli FC
0:2
May 25, 2014 Lega Pro C2/A
Forli FC vs Sassari Torres
3:0
May 18, 2014 Lega Pro C2/A
Sassari Torres vs Forli FC
1:0
Jan 19, 2014 Lega Pro C2/A
Forli FC vs Sassari Torres
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Franzolini A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sassari Torres Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 33 / 100
Sassari Torres 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forli FC Sassari Torres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sassari Torres or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Forli FC attacking → ← attacking Sassari Torres

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forli FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Sassari Torres let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Forli FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sassari Torres lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 35
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arezzo36248464:2480
2Ascoli36238563:2377
3Ravenna36227750:3073
4Campobasso361710949:3759
5Juventus U233614111146:4353
6Pianese361117837:3450
7Pineto3613111242:4550
8Gubbio3611151031:3248
9Ternana3614111144:4048
10Vis Pesaro3611131238:3646
11Livorno361271739:5143
12Forli FC3610101641:5240
13Carpi3610101635:4840
14Perugia368141438:4438
15Guidonia 1937368141430:3638
16Sambenedettese368131530:3737
17Sassari Torres366181232:4536
18Bra366141637:5432
19US Pontedera363112227:6220
20Rimini00000:00