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Forli FC vs Zenith Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forli
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lombardi L.
62' Event
Rosi A.
72' Event
Messini T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Forli FC and Zenith Prato finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zenith Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Forli FC
35%
Draws
32%
Zenith Prato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zenith Prato come out ahead of Forli FC on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 68%
Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forli FC Zenith Prato
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Zenith Prato
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Zenith Prato vs Forli FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lombardi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saporetti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Zenith Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messini T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 41 / 100
Zenith Prato 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forli FC Zenith Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forli FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Forli FC scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Zenith Prato let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Forli FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forli FC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forli FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
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Zenith Prato

(Away)
11 May
Zenith Prato
2 : 2
Piacenza
27 Apr
Imolese
5 : 1
Zenith Prato
17 Apr
Zenith Prato
1 : 1
Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Zenith Prato
06 Apr
Zenith Prato
0 : 0
Prato
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)