Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Peters J.
Assist: McHardy D.
52' Event
Cummings A.
Assist: Fraser K.

AI Match Summary

Buckie Thistle in this Scottish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Formartine Utd
20%
Draws
42%
Buckie Thistle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buckie Thistle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Formartine Utd lately — more wins on the board than Buckie Thistle.
  • Model gives Buckie Thistle a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Formartine Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Formartine Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formartine Utd Buckie Thistle
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.86 2.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Formartine Utd
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Scottish Cup
Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle
3:1
Mar 22, 2025 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Formartine Utd
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formartine Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Buckie Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer Peters J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cummings A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formartine Utd 18 / 100
Buckie Thistle 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formartine Utd Buckie Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckie Thistle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Formartine Utd found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Buckie Thistle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Formartine Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formartine Utd VS Buckie Thistle
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Formartine Utd

(Home)
12 Sept
Clachnacuddin
1 : 1
Formartine Utd
08 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 3
Dundee Utd B
05 Sept
Formartine Utd
1 : 1
Nairn County
29 Aug
Forres Mechanics
1 : 2
Formartine Utd
22 Aug
Formartine Utd
4 : 1
Keith
Page 1 of 6

Buckie Thistle

(Away)
12 Sept
Buckie Thistle
0 : 3
Huntly
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Buckie Thistle
5 : 0
Rothes
22 Aug
Invergordon
0 : 6
Buckie Thistle
15 Aug
Turriff United
1 : 2
Buckie Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Lossiemouth 1
Formartine Utd 2
Huntly 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Stranraer -
TBD -
Glenafton 3
Invergordon 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
Clydebank FC 4
Newtongrange Star 1
East Stirlingshire 3
Boness Athletic 2
Keith 1
Linlithgow Rose 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Coldstream 2
Tayport FC 3
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Carluke Rovers FC 0
Gretna 2008 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Albion Rovers 1
Johnstone Burgh 4
Threave Rovers 0
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Stirling University 6
Burntisland Shipyard 2
Elgin City -
TBD -
Darvel FC 1
Deveronvale 3
Forres Mechanics 0
Caledonian Braves 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Musselburgh 2
Bonnyton Thistle 0
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 5
Rothes 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lochee United 1
Brechin 3
Civil Service Strollers 2
Dundonald Bluebell 3
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boness United 0
Banks O' Dee 3
Brora Rangers 0
Fraserburgh 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Kilwinning Rangers 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Sauchie 2
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berwick 0
Nairn County 2
Turriff United 2
Hill Of Beath 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 4
Glasgow University 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Broxburn Athletic 1
Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
East Kilbride -
Tranent FC 3
Pollok 0
Strathspey Thistle 1
Dundee North End 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde 2
Annan 3
Formartine Utd 0
Buckie Thistle 2
Stranraer 4
Glenafton 0
Clydebank FC 3
East Stirlingshire 1
Boness Athletic 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton 2
Tayport FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 1
Johnstone Burgh 0
Edinburgh City 1
Stirling University 0
Elgin City 2
Deveronvale 1
Caledonian Braves 3
Stirling 4
Musselburgh 1
Forfar Athletic 2
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Brechin 3
Dundonald Bluebell 1
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 4
Fraserburgh 0
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Sauchie 0
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
Nairn County 1
Turriff United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Spartans 2
East Kilbride 1
Tranent FC 3
Dundee North End 0
TBD -
Inverness -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
Annan 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Stranraer 2
Clydebank FC 1
Linlithgow Rose 1
Queen's Park 3
Dumbarton 0
Auchinleck Talbot 4
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton 0
East Fife 0
Arbroath 2
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Edinburgh City 1
Elgin City 4
Stirling 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Partick 2
Benburb 0
Montrose 3
Dunfermline 2
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts 2
Brechin 0
St Johnstone 1
Cove Rangers 2
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Raith 1
Alloa 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 0
Ross County 2
Stenhousemuir 4
Clachnacuddin 1
Peterhead 2
Morton 3
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr 3
Turriff United 0
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Spartans 2
Tranent FC 1
Inverness 2
1/16-finals
Rangers 5
Annan 0
Stranraer 2
Queen's Park 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee FC 2
Airdrieonians 4
Arbroath 3
Livingston 1
St. Mirren 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Elgin City 3
Partick 3
Montrose 1
Dunfermline 1
Hibernian 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Cove Rangers 1
Aberdeen 1
Raith 0
Motherwell 1
Ross County 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Falkirk 2
Ayr 0
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Inverness 0
1/8-finals
Rangers 8
Queen's Park 0
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Airdrieonians 1
St. Mirren 2
Elgin City 2
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Kelty Hearts 0
Aberdeen 2
Motherwell 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1
Dunfermline 3
Aberdeen 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 1
Semi-finals
Celtic 6
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 1
Falkirk 0
Final
Celtic 3
Dunfermline 1