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Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Formartine Utd host Buckie Thistle in the Highland League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Buckie Thistle have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Formartine Utd have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Formartine Utd slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.88, favoring Formartine Utd. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Formartine Utd
15%
Draws
0%
Buckie Thistle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Formartine Utd come out ahead of Buckie Thistle on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Formartine Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formartine Utd Buckie Thistle
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Formartine Utd
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Scottish Cup
Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle
3:1
Mar 22, 2025 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Formartine Utd
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Buckie Thistle
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formartine Utd 85 / 100
Buckie Thistle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formartine Utd Buckie Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formartine Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Formartine Utd scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Buckie Thistle lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Buckie Thistle has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Formartine Utd VS Buckie Thistle
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Formartine Utd

(Home)
17 Oct
Wick Academy
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
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Buckie Thistle

(Away)
17 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 3
Deveronvale
10 Oct
Clachnacuddin
3 : 0
Buckie Thistle
07 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 4
Lossiemouth
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 15 12 3 0 56:14 39
2 Inverurie Loco Works 16 9 5 2 31:21 32
3 Formartine Utd 15 8 4 3 28:19 28
4 Fraserburgh 15 7 6 2 32:16 27
5 Banks O' Dee 15 7 4 4 39:27 25
6 Clachnacuddin 14 6 5 3 31:15 23
7 Huntly 15 6 4 5 30:23 22
8 Strathspey Thistle 16 6 4 6 30:23 22
9 Forres Mechanics 15 6 3 6 25:24 21
10 Deveronvale 16 6 3 7 25:25 21
11 Nairn County 16 5 6 5 24:26 21
12 Turriff United 16 6 2 8 22:23 20
13 Buckie Thistle 14 6 1 7 34:26 19
14 Keith 15 5 3 7 25:35 18
15 Lossiemouth 15 5 3 7 22:36 18
16 Invergordon 15 4 1 10 21:42 13
17 Wick Academy 16 3 1 12 17:44 10
18 Rothes 15 1 0 14 10:63 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)