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Formartine Utd vs Cove Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cove Rangers have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Formartine Utd have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.89. Past meetings favor Cove Rangers slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Formartine Utd. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Formartine Utd
15%
Draws
37%
Cove Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Formartine Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Formartine Utd's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Formartine Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cove Rangers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formartine Utd Cove Rangers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.89 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 Challenge Cup
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
2:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
2:0
Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
3:0
Feb 27, 2019 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Cove Rangers
0:0
Sep 15, 2018 Highland League
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formartine Utd 40 / 100
Cove Rangers 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formartine Utd Cove Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formartine Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Formartine Utd's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cove Rangers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Formartine Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formartine Utd VS Cove Rangers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Formartine Utd

(Home)
17 Oct
Wick Academy
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
Page 1 of 6

Cove Rangers

(Away)
17 Oct
Peterhead
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
East Fife
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Stenhousemuir -
Berwick -
Aberdeen B -
Queen's Park -
East Kilbride -
Stirling -
St. Mirren B -
Peterhead -
Arbroath -
Queen of the South -
Annan -
Ayr -
Clydebank FC -
Alloa -
Spartans -
Livingston -
Airdrieonians -
Elgin City -
Edinburgh City -
Partick -
Inverness -
Montrose -
Formartine Utd -
Cove Rangers -
Ross County -
Celtic B -
Hamilton -
Raith -
Morton -
Kelty Hearts -
Bonnyrigg Rose -
Dunfermline -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -