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Formartine Utd vs Edinburgh City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup North Lodge Park, Pitmedden
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Wade J.
Penalty Missed
54' Event
Ritchie H.
Assist: Abari G.
83' Event
Wade J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Formartine Utd
15%
Draws
39%
Edinburgh City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Formartine Utd lately — more wins on the board than Edinburgh City.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Formartine Utd taking it.
  • Formartine Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Formartine Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 18%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formartine Utd Edinburgh City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.89 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Formartine Utd vs Edinburgh City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formartine Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ritchie H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wade J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Edinburgh City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formartine Utd 36 / 100
Edinburgh City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formartine Utd Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Formartine Utd found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Edinburgh City has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Formartine Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formartine Utd VS Edinburgh City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Formartine Utd

(Home)
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
Page 1 of 6

Edinburgh City

(Away)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)