Sport Picks
Formartine Utd vs Montrose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup North Lodge Park, Pitmedden 
Match Events
45'
45'
Wade J.
(Penalty)
72'
72'
Abari G.
Assist: Wade J.
75'
75'
Thomas R.
Assist: Mykyta T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Formartine Utd lately — more wins on the board than Montrose.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Formartine Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Formartine Utd, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Montrose have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Formartine Utd | Montrose |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Formartine Utd vs Montrose
3:2
Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Montrose vs Formartine Utd
4:3
Jun 29, 2019 Club Friendly
Montrose vs Formartine Utd
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Formartine Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Abari G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thomas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Montrose Compare
Top Goalscorer Clelland A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jamieson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Formartine Utd 30 / 100
Montrose 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Formartine Utd Montrose
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Formartine Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Formartine Utd scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Montrose conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Formartine Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Formartine Utd VS Montrose
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Formartine Utd
(Home) 07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1 Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2 Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0 Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1 Deveronvale
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 0 Lossiemouth
08 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 3 Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 4
Montrose
(Away) 03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3 Montrose
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
