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Formartine Utd vs Nairn County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
McAllister R.
Assist: Mykyta T.
55' Event
Thomson J.
Assist: Wilson A.

AI Match Summary

The Highland League game between Formartine Utd and Nairn County finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Formartine Utd
15%
Draws
39%
Nairn County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nairn County haven't matched Formartine Utd's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Formartine Utd a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formartine Utd Nairn County
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.89 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Nairn County
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Formartine Utd
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Nairn County
2:0
Apr 9, 2025 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Nairn County
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Formartine Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formartine Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer McAllister R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nairn County Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formartine Utd 36 / 100
Nairn County 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formartine Utd Nairn County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Formartine Utd scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nairn County conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Formartine Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Formartine Utd VS Nairn County
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Formartine Utd

(Home)
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
Page 1 of 6

Nairn County

(Away)
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0
Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2
Banks O' Dee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)