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Formentera vs Collerense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Vaccarini G.
78' Event
Jimenez A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Formentera
30%
Draws
28%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Collerense haven't matched Formentera's recent run of results.
  • Formentera are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Formentera Clean Sheet 68%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Collerense
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 15 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.24 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Collerense
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Formentera
0:0
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Formentera
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Collerense
2:1
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Collerense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaccarini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 59 / 100
Collerense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collerense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Formentera has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Formentera found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Collerense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
Page 1 of 7

Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)