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Formentera vs Migjorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Madariaga J.
17' Event
Mari J.
21' Event
Losada F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Formentera and Migjorn finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Formentera
20%
Draws
22%
Migjorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Formentera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Formentera a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Migjorn
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.4 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Migjorn
6:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Formentera
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Losada F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Madariaga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Migjorn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 85 / 100
Migjorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Migjorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Migjorn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Formentera found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Formentera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Migjorn
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0
Formentera
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

Migjorn

(Away)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)