Sport Picks
Formentera vs SD Ibiza
Spain
Copa Federacion 2025 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Formentera advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Formentera carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Formentera a 42% chance of winning this.
- Formentera have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor SD Ibiza, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Formentera | SD Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Formentera vs SD Ibiza
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Formentera vs SD Ibiza
1:3
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Formentera vs SD Ibiza
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs Formentera
1:2
Jan 23, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs Formentera
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Formentera 42 / 100
SD Ibiza 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Formentera SD Ibiza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: SD Ibiza conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.
Solid form: Formentera remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Formentera's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Formentera VS SD Ibiza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Formentera
(Home) 19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0 Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1 Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
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13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1 Porreres
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0 Mercadal
04 Apr
Formentera
2 : 0 Felanitx
22 Mar
Formentera
2 : 1 Portmany
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SD Ibiza
(Away) 12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3 SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0 SD Ibiza
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1 UD Poblense
26 Apr
SD Ibiza
2 : 2 Andratx
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12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3 SD Ibiza
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0 SD Ibiza
19 Apr
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 0 SD Ibiza
12 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1 SD Ibiza
29 Mar
Girona B
2 : 2 SD Ibiza
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0
