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Forres Mechanics vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
MacLeman R.
Assist: McLauchlan M.
38' Event
Frame C.
45' Event
Ormsby H.
Assist: Robertson R.

AI Match Summary

Forres Mechanics in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forres Mechanics.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Forres Mechanics
15%
Draws
42%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forres Mechanics

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Forres Mechanics haven't matched Keith's recent run of results.
  • Forres Mechanics are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Forres Mechanics Clean Sheet 13%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forres Mechanics Keith
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
5:1
Mar 28, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
1:0
Sep 10, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
4:1
Aug 28, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forres Mechanics Compare

Top Goalscorer Frame C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader MacLeman R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Keith Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormsby H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forres Mechanics 57 / 100
Keith 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forres Mechanics Keith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forres Mechanics Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Forres Mechanics scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Keith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Keith's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Forres Mechanics VS Keith
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Forres Mechanics

(Home)
10 Oct
Turriff United
2 : 0
Forres Mechanics
07 Oct
Forres Mechanics
2 : 5
Brora Rangers
03 Oct
Forres Mechanics
0 : 1
Stirling University
25 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 1
Forres Mechanics
19 Sept
Forres Mechanics
3 : 0
Banks O' Dee
Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0
Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 14 12 2 0 55:13 38
2 Inverurie Loco Works 15 8 5 2 28:20 29
3 Formartine Utd 14 8 4 2 27:17 28
4 Fraserburgh 13 7 4 2 29:13 25
5 Clachnacuddin 13 6 5 2 31:11 23
6 Banks O' Dee 14 6 4 4 35:27 22
7 Huntly 14 6 3 5 28:21 21
8 Strathspey Thistle 15 6 3 6 28:21 21
9 Forres Mechanics 14 6 2 6 23:22 20
10 Buckie Thistle 13 6 1 6 32:23 19
11 Turriff United 14 6 1 7 18:18 19
12 Nairn County 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Lossiemouth 14 5 2 7 20:34 17
14 Deveronvale 14 4 3 7 19:23 15
15 Keith 14 4 3 7 19:31 15
16 Invergordon 14 4 1 9 17:36 13
17 Wick Academy 14 2 0 12 12:40 6
18 Rothes 13 1 0 12 9:57 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)