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Forres Mechanics vs Keith

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
MacLeman R.
Assist: McLauchlan M.
38' Event
Frame C.
45' Event
Ormsby H.
Assist: Robertson R.

AI Match Summary

Forres Mechanics in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forres Mechanics.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Forres Mechanics
35%
Draws
19%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forres Mechanics

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Forres Mechanics haven't matched Keith's recent run of results.
  • Keith are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Forres Mechanics Clean Sheet 10%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forres Mechanics Keith
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
5:1
Mar 28, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
1:0
Sep 10, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
4:1
Aug 28, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forres Mechanics Compare

Top Goalscorer Frame C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader MacLeman R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Keith Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormsby H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forres Mechanics 18 / 100
Keith 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forres Mechanics Keith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forres Mechanics scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Keith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Forres Mechanics stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forres Mechanics VS Keith
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forres Mechanics

(Home)
22 Aug
Deveronvale
1 : 1
Forres Mechanics
19 Aug
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Clachnacuddin
15 Aug
Lossiemouth
2 : 1
Forres Mechanics
08 Aug
Forres Mechanics
0 : 2
Fraserburgh
05 Aug
Nairn County
1 : 2
Forres Mechanics
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Keith

(Away)
22 Aug
Formartine Utd
4 : 1
Keith
15 Aug
Clachnacuddin
1 : 1
Keith
08 Aug
Keith
2 : 2
Lossiemouth
05 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 0
Keith
01 Aug
Keith
1 : 1
Nairn County
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