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Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fort Wayne host Forward Madison in the USL League One. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Forward Madison have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Fort Wayne have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Fort Wayne have won 0 to Forward Madison's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.69, favoring Forward Madison. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fort Wayne
30%
Draws
37%
Forward Madison
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forward Madison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forward Madison come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 13%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Forward Madison
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Fort Wayne
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 35 / 100
Forward Madison 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Forward Madison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Forward Madison has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Fort Wayne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Forward Madison
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6

Forward Madison

(Away)
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0
AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2
Forward Madison
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 28 18 4 6 50:30 58
2 Charlotte Independence 27 17 5 5 63:39 56
3 Forward Madison 27 15 6 6 50:26 51
4 One Knoxville 27 13 8 6 44:31 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 27 13 7 7 43:37 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
7 Spokane Velocity 24 12 4 8 36:33 40
8 Fort Wayne 26 10 7 9 41:35 37
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
11 Sarasota Paradise 26 8 6 12 33:39 30
12 Portland Hearts of Pine 27 7 9 11 39:46 30
13 Westchester SC 27 8 5 14 46:45 29
14 FC Naples 26 8 4 14 29:43 28
15 Greenville Triumph 26 6 5 15 29:48 23
16 New York Cosmos 26 6 4 16 32:52 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)