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Fort Wayne vs Richmond Kickers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Moore D.
45' Event
Smith J.
46'
Sub
Smith J. In: Gafar K.
Out: Smith J.

AI Match Summary

Fort Wayne in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fort Wayne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fort Wayne
20%
Draws
34%
Richmond Kickers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fort Wayne have won more games recently than Richmond Kickers.
  • Fort Wayne are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 16%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Richmond Kickers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.62 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Richmond Kickers
2:0
Jun 20, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Fort Wayne
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Richmond Kickers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 41 / 100
Richmond Kickers 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Richmond Kickers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Richmond Kickers conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fort Wayne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Richmond Kickers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
17 Oct
Fort Wayne
1 : 3
Sarasota Paradise
10 Oct
Union Omaha
0 : 1
Fort Wayne
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

Richmond Kickers

(Away)
17 Oct
Richmond Kickers
5 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 31 20 6 5 73:42 66
2 Union Omaha 31 19 4 8 54:34 61
3 Forward Madison 31 16 7 8 54:30 55
4 Athletic Club Boise 31 16 7 8 49:41 55
5 Spokane Velocity 31 16 6 9 50:43 54
6 One Knoxville 32 15 9 8 52:36 54
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 14 4 13 50:44 46
8 Fort Wayne 31 12 9 10 47:40 45
9 FC Naples 31 13 4 14 38:46 43
10 Westchester SC 31 11 6 14 53:49 39
11 Sarasota Paradise 31 11 6 14 47:49 39
12 Corpus Christi FC 31 9 9 13 34:49 36
13 AV Alta FC 31 8 9 14 38:46 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 31 7 10 14 44:57 31
15 Greenville Triumph 31 7 6 18 36:60 27
16 New York Cosmos 31 7 5 19 39:65 26
17 Richmond Kickers 31 7 5 19 37:64 26
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)