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Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Salas J.
Assist: Arroyo A.
46'
Salas J.
58'
Cuero S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Fortaleza C.E.I.F. and Aguilas Doradas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza C.E.I.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
35%
Draws
26%
Aguilas Doradas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. haven't matched Aguilas Doradas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza C.E.I.F.'s way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 68%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Aguilas Doradas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas
2:0
Aug 4, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:2
Feb 18, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas
2:1
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 50 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Aguilas Doradas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas Doradas has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Aguilas Doradas
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Home)
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Aguilas Doradas

(Away)
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)