Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Municipal de Cota
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Salas J.
Assist: Arroyo A.
46'
Salas J.
58'
Cuero S.

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. host Aguilas Doradas in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aguilas Doradas have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Fortaleza C.E.I.F. have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Fortaleza C.E.I.F. slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.06) point toward Aguilas Doradas. Aguilas Doradas in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
40%
Draws
29%
Aguilas Doradas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguilas Doradas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fortaleza C.E.I.F..
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera A provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 20%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Aguilas Doradas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas
2:0
Aug 4, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:2
Feb 18, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas
2:1
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Aguilas Doradas
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 32 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Aguilas Doradas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Aguilas Doradas let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas Doradas lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Aguilas Doradas
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210