Sport Picks
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Atl. Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sub
Rodriguez N. In: Moreno M.
Out: Rodriguez N.
43'
43'
Copete A.
Assist: Navarro S.
45'
45'
Casco M.
AI Match Summary
Atl. Nacional in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atl. Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza C.E.I.F..
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Atl. Nacional here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | Atl. Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 20 |
| Draws | 13 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Atl. Nacional
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4:1
Aug 17, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:2
Mar 5, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Atl. Nacional
1:5
Oct 27, 2024 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Atl. Nacional
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare
Top Goalscorer Copete A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Morelos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 34 / 100
Atl. Nacional 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Atl. Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.'s goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Atl. Nacional has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Atl. Nacional
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
(Home) 09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1 Millonarios
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1 Millonarios
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Nacional
(Away) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
10 Aug
America De Cali
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
