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Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Dep. Cali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Herrera J.
14' Event
Benedetti N.
(Penalty)
18'
Velasco E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
35%
Draws
49%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. haven't matched Dep. Cali's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dep. Cali a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 13%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Dep. Cali
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 17
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Dep. Cali
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Sep 25, 2024 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulicastro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Dep. Cali Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 / 100
Dep. Cali 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Cali let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Dep. Cali
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Home)
25 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
20 Oct
Inter Bogotá
2 : 1
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Millonarios
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cali

(Away)
25 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
21 Oct
Llaneros
0 : 3
Dep. Cali
19 Oct
Dep. Cali
0 : 0
Junior
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Dep. Cali
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 15 10 2 3 30:13 32
2 America De Cali 15 9 4 2 29:11 31
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
5 Bucaramanga 14 6 7 1 22:13 25
6 Santa Fe 14 7 4 3 21:14 25
7 Ind. Medellin 15 7 2 6 22:21 23
8 Once Caldas 16 5 6 5 20:18 21
9 Cucuta 15 6 3 6 18:22 21
10 Deportes Tolima 16 5 5 6 18:19 20
11 Aguilas Doradas 15 4 7 4 19:20 19
12 Alianza 15 5 3 7 16:26 18
13 Inter Bogotá 16 3 8 5 18:22 17
14 Llaneros 15 5 2 8 16:20 17
15 Junior 15 3 6 6 20:23 15
16 Chico 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
17 Dep. Pereira 15 2 8 5 11:19 14
18 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 15 1 9 5 16:22 12
19 Dep. Pasto 15 3 3 9 10:22 12
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 14 2 4 8 16:28 10
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)