Sport Picks
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Deportes Tolima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
6'
6'
Diaz Y.
10'
10'
Garcia J.
27'
27'
Martinez Yepez H. E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportes Tolima lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza C.E.I.F..
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 17%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Deportes Tolima
2:2
Mar 19, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:0
Dec 8, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:0
Nov 18, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare
Top Goalscorer Herrera J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Navarro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Deportes Tolima Compare
Top Goalscorer Hurtado J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 31 / 100
Deportes Tolima 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Deportes Tolima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Deportes Tolima conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Deportes Tolima
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
(Home) 09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1 Millonarios
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1 Millonarios
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
Deportes Tolima
(Away) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
