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Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Ind. Medellin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. host Ind. Medellin in the Primera A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. at 1.14 goals for, 1.39 against; Ind. Medellin at 1.43 for, 1.39 against. Head-to-head, Fortaleza C.E.I.F. have won 0 to Ind. Medellin's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.44) back Ind. Medellin to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
30%
Draws
35%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin have won more games recently than Fortaleza C.E.I.F..
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ind. Medellin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 16%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 13 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
3:1
Sep 4, 2025 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Colombia
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Ind. Medellin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 30 / 100
Ind. Medellin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Ind. Medellin
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Home)
25 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
20 Oct
Inter Bogotá
2 : 1
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Millonarios
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
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Ind. Medellin

(Away)
25 Oct
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
18 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 2
Once Caldas
15 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 2
Ind. Medellin
12 Oct
America De Cali
1 : 2
Ind. Medellin
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 15 10 2 3 30:13 32
2 America De Cali 15 9 4 2 29:11 31
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
5 Bucaramanga 14 6 7 1 22:13 25
6 Santa Fe 14 7 4 3 21:14 25
7 Ind. Medellin 15 7 2 6 22:21 23
8 Once Caldas 16 5 6 5 20:18 21
9 Cucuta 15 6 3 6 18:22 21
10 Deportes Tolima 16 5 5 6 18:19 20
11 Aguilas Doradas 15 4 7 4 19:20 19
12 Alianza 15 5 3 7 16:26 18
13 Inter Bogotá 16 3 8 5 18:22 17
14 Llaneros 16 5 2 9 16:21 17
15 Junior 15 3 6 6 20:23 15
16 Chico 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
17 Dep. Pereira 15 2 8 5 11:19 14
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 15 3 4 8 17:28 13
19 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 15 1 9 5 16:22 12
20 Dep. Pasto 15 3 3 9 10:22 12
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)