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Fortaleza U17 vs Bahia U17

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Brasileiro U17
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AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U17 game between Fortaleza U17 and Bahia U17 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fortaleza U17
30%
Draws
29%
Bahia U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Fortaleza U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Brasileiro U17 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fortaleza U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Bahia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza U17 Bahia U17
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Fortaleza U17 vs Bahia U17
3:2
Mar 12, 2026 Copa do Brasil U17
Bahia U17 vs Fortaleza U17
2:3
Mar 3, 2026 Copa do Brasil U17
Fortaleza U17 vs Bahia U17
1:1
Jun 11, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Fortaleza U17 vs Bahia U17
3:0
Mar 25, 2025 Copa do Brasil U17
Fortaleza U17 vs Bahia U17
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza U17 34 / 100
Bahia U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza U17 Bahia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia U17 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Fortaleza U17 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Fortaleza U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza U17 VS Bahia U17
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza U17

(Home)
22 Sept
Vitoria U17
1 : 3
Fortaleza U17
15 Sept
Santos U17
7 : 0
Fortaleza U17
10 Sept
Fortaleza U17
2 : 2
Corinthians U17
05 Sept
Palmeiras U17
1 : 0
Fortaleza U17
01 Sept
Fortaleza U17
3 : 1
Sao Paulo U17
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Bahia U17

(Away)
22 Sept
Cruzeiro U17
4 : 0
Bahia U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
09 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ U17
05 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
0 : 4
Bahia U17
02 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 2
Atletico-MG U17
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U17 18 13 2 3 51:26 41
2 Fluminense U17 18 11 4 3 35:15 37
3 Corinthians U17 18 11 3 4 50:20 36
4 Bragantino U17 18 11 3 4 52:26 36
5 Cruzeiro U17 18 10 4 4 32:24 34
6 Fortaleza U17 18 9 3 6 27:32 30
7 Flamengo RJ U17 18 8 6 4 36:22 30
8 Atletico-MG U17 18 8 5 5 37:23 29
9 Athletico-PR U17 18 8 5 5 34:29 29
10 Santos U17 18 8 3 7 30:33 27
11 Sao Paulo U17 18 6 9 3 24:18 27
12 Botafogo RJ U17 18 7 4 7 37:40 25
13 Internacional U17 18 7 2 9 21:31 23
14 Vasco U17 18 6 5 7 29:22 23
15 America MG U17 18 5 4 9 30:26 19
16 Bahia U17 18 4 6 8 29:33 18
17 EC Juventude U17 18 4 4 10 17:45 16
18 Vitoria U17 18 3 1 14 19:41 10
19 Gremio U17 18 3 1 14 15:50 10
20 Atletico GO U17 18 1 0 17 16:65 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 (Play Offs)