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Fortaleza U20 vs Caucaia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Fortaleza U20 Logo

Fortaleza U20

4 - 0
FT
Caucaia U20 Logo

Caucaia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Carvalho I.
41' Event
Kauan
65' Event
Juan Fidelis
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fortaleza U20
20%
Draws
40%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortaleza U20 lately — more wins on the board than Caucaia U20.
  • Fortaleza U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fortaleza U20 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 40 26
Wins 18 9
Draws 11 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.08
Goals Conceded 1 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Caucaia U20
4:0
Jul 13, 2024 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Caucaia U20
4:1
Jun 14, 2024 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Caucaia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza U20 67 / 100
Caucaia U20 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza U20 Caucaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza U20 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (40 games).

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Caucaia U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Caucaia U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza U20 VS Caucaia U20
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza U20

(Home)
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 8

Caucaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)