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Fortaleza U20 vs Ferroviario U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 Logo

Fortaleza U20

3 - 0
FT
Ferroviario U20 Logo

Ferroviario U20

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Caio Jeronimo
57' Event
Caio Jeronimo
64' Event
Pinna
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fortaleza U20
15%
Draws
51%
Ferroviario U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fortaleza U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Fortaleza U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fortaleza U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza U20 Ferroviario U20
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Ferroviario U20
3:0
Jul 25, 2026 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Ferroviario U20
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Jeronimo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pinna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza U20 68 / 100
Ferroviario U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza U20 Ferroviario U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza U20 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (42 games).

Defensive concern: Ferroviario U20 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ferroviario U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza U20 VS Ferroviario U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 17%
50% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza U20

(Home)
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 9

Ferroviario U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0
Ferroviario U20
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fortaleza U20 4
Ferroviario U20 0
Floresta EC U20 1
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 5
Vila Real U20 1
Tirol U20 8
Anjos do Ceu U20 0
Semi-finals
Fortaleza U20 3
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Final
Fortaleza U20 2
Ceara U20 3