Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Mailton
20'
20'
Vinicius Zanocelo
20'
20'
Rodrigo
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Fortaleza and Ceara finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Fortaleza carry the better recent record into this one.
- Fortaleza are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Ceara
1:1
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Fortaleza
2:1
Apr 9, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Ceara vs Fortaleza
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Cearense
Ceara vs Fortaleza
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Cearense
Fortaleza vs Ceara
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ceara Compare
Top Goalscorer Melk
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza 77 / 100
Ceara 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza Ceara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fortaleza scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.
Defensive concern: Ceara conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.
Fortaleza has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza VS Ceara
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza
(Home) 20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2 Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1 Fortaleza
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Operario-PR
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Operario-PR
19 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Sao Bernardo
06 Aug
Fortaleza
3 : 2 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4
Ceara
(Away) 18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1 Ceara
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1 Ceara
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0 Ceara
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4 Ceara
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 14 | Nautico | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
