Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Vinicius
Assist: Arnaldo
31'
31'
Lucas Gazal
43'
43'
Luiz Fernando
Assist: Mailton
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Fortaleza have won more games recently than Nautico.
- Win probability leans Fortaleza's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Nautico
1:1
Jun 9, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Fortaleza
0:1
Feb 26, 2023 Copa do Nordeste
Fortaleza vs Nautico
2:1
Mar 26, 2022 Copa do Nordeste
Fortaleza vs Nautico
2:0
Feb 12, 2022 Copa do Nordeste
Nautico vs Fortaleza
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Fernando
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Nautico Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza 77 / 100
Nautico 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza Nautico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Fortaleza stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Fortaleza scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Nautico conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza VS Nautico
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza
(Home) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2 Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Operario-PR
Page 1 of 4
Nautico
(Away) 08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
23 Aug
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1 Nautico
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Nautico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
