Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza W vs Alianza W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Bejarano V.
14'
Gallego M.
30'
Sub
Bonett S. In: Florez M.
Out: Bonett S.

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza W in this Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fortaleza W
20%
Draws
0%
Alianza W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza W have won more games recently than Fortaleza W.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Alianza W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Alianza W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alianza W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 77 / 100
Alianza W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Alianza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alianza W conceded in 81% of 36 recent games.

Away concern: Alianza W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: Fortaleza W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fortaleza W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza W VS Alianza W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza W

(Home)
20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4
Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0
Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1
Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6

Alianza W

(Away)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 35:7 38
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 11 2 3 32:12 35
3 Atl. Nacional W 16 7 8 1 22:10 29
4 Ind. Medellin W 16 9 2 5 24:14 29
5 Inter Palmira W 16 8 3 5 19:18 27
6 America de Cali W 16 7 5 4 19:13 26
7 Orsomarso W 16 7 4 5 23:14 25
8 Millonarios W 16 6 6 4 25:20 24
9 Inter Bogotá W 16 6 6 4 14:9 24
10 Dep. Pasto W 16 6 5 5 21:17 23
11 Junior W 16 3 5 8 21:37 14
12 Real Santander W 16 2 7 7 9:18 13
13 Once Caldas W 16 2 6 8 12:23 12
14 Alianza W 16 3 1 12 15:37 10
15 Fortaleza W 16 2 4 10 12:37 10
16 Bucaramanga W 16 1 6 9 5:22 9
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Promotion Group)