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Fortaleza W vs Patriotas W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Aguila Women 2017 game between Fortaleza W and Patriotas W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fortaleza W
30%
Draws
39%
Patriotas W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patriotas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Patriotas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Aguila Women 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 19%
Patriotas W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Patriotas W
Matches Played 34 22
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.94 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2018 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Patriotas W
2:2
Mar 3, 2018 Liga Women
Patriotas W vs Fortaleza W
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 Liga Women
Patriotas W vs Fortaleza W
1:2
Feb 26, 2017 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Patriotas W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 36 / 100
Patriotas W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Patriotas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patriotas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Fortaleza W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Patriotas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 22 matches.

Fortaleza W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza W VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza W

(Home)
20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4
Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0
Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1
Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 7

Patriotas W

(Away)
14 May
America de Cali W
5 : 0
Patriotas W
11 May
Patriotas W
2 : 0
America de Cali W
06 May
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 3
Patriotas W
01 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 2
Patriotas W
25 Apr
Patriotas W
1 : 0
Bogota W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado W 10 10 0 0 36:3 30
2 Bucaramanga W 10 6 0 4 19:11 18
3 Cartagena W 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
4 Union Magdalena W 10 5 1 4 13:14 16
5 Alianza W 10 1 1 8 10:33 4
6 Real Santander W 10 1 1 8 7:26 4
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 10 0 0 32:5 30
2 Cucuta W 10 6 0 4 22:16 18
3 Huila W 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
4 Patriotas W 10 2 3 5 11:20 9
5 Fortaleza W 10 2 1 7 8:23 7
6 Inter Bogotá W 10 2 0 8 6:23 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orsomarso W 10 8 1 1 22:4 25
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 23:8 20
3 America de Cali W 10 5 4 1 24:9 19
4 Dep. Pasto W 10 2 1 7 6:26 7
5 Quindio W 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Deportivo Pereira W 10 2 1 7 10:27 7
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams