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Forte vs Vitoria ES

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Municipal Almiro Ofranti
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Souza de Miranda N.
15'
Gabriel Mistura
37'
Thiago Ramos

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba game between Forte and Vitoria ES finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Forte
44%
Draws
20%
Vitoria ES
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Forte haven't matched Vitoria ES's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Forte Clean Sheet 15%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte Vitoria ES
Matches Played 21 38
Wins 7 19
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Forte
4:1
Feb 23, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Vitoria ES
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Vitoria ES
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forte Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Arcado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vitoria ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte 35 / 100
Vitoria ES 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte Vitoria ES

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria ES's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Forte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Forte scored in 52% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria ES
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rio Branco ES1
Porto Vitoria2
Vitoria ES5
Forte2
Vilavelhense2
Desportiva Ferroviaria2
Serra2
Real Noroeste2
Semi-finals
Porto Vitoria6
Vitoria ES5
Vilavelhense1
Serra3
Final
Porto Vitoria4
Serra3