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Fortuna Chemnitz vs Hallescher II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Fortuna Chemnitz and Hallescher II finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hallescher II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fortuna Chemnitz
15%
Draws
28%
Hallescher II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hallescher II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fortuna Chemnitz a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 20%
Hallescher II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Hallescher II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Hallescher II
3:4
Nov 24, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Hallescher II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 40 / 100
Hallescher II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Hallescher II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Chemnitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Hallescher II has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Hallescher II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hallescher II
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
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Hallescher II

(Away)
08 Jun
Aue II
4 : 1
Hallescher II
01 Jun
Hallescher II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
25 May
Bautzen
3 : 0
Hallescher II
18 May
Cottbus II
1 : 0
Hallescher II
11 May
Hallescher II
1 : 2
Schott Jena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)