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Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln II in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortuna Koln II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Fortuna Koln II
20%
Draws
24%
Frechen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortuna Koln II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortuna Koln II average 2.26 goals a game right now, well clear of Frechen's 2.17.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Fortuna Koln II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 10%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln II Frechen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.26 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen
5:2
Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Fortuna Koln II
1:0
May 4, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Fortuna Koln II
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln II 83 / 100
Frechen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln II Frechen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Koln II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln II scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Frechen let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fortuna Koln II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Koln II VS Frechen
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Koln II

(Home)
04 Oct
Hennef
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
27 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 1
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
30 Aug
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
Page 1 of 7

Frechen

(Away)
04 Oct
Frechen
1 : 0
VfL Vichttal
27 Sept
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
Frechen
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)