Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortuna Koln II vs Sportfreunde Duren

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln II play Sportfreunde Duren in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Fortuna Koln II are favorites here. Recently, Fortuna Koln II averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Sportfreunde Duren averaged 1.37 goals scored and 3.43 conceded. In past meetings, Fortuna Koln II won 2, Sportfreunde Duren won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Fortuna Koln II and 1.75 for Sportfreunde Duren. This points to a Fortuna Koln II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fortuna Koln II
15%
Draws
15%
Sportfreunde Duren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Koln II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fortuna Koln II picked up more points recently compared to Sportfreunde Duren.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 12%
Sportfreunde Duren Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln II Sportfreunde Duren
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 2.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.57 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Sportfreunde Duren
6:1
Dec 7, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sportfreunde Duren vs Fortuna Koln II
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln II 65 / 100
Sportfreunde Duren 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln II Sportfreunde Duren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Koln II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Fortuna Koln II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortuna Koln II attacking → ← attacking Sportfreunde Duren

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln II scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sportfreunde Duren let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Fortuna Koln II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sportfreunde Duren lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 14
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128