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Fortuna Koln W vs Weinberg W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln W play Weinberg W in the DFB Pokal Women 2024/2025. Fortuna Koln W are favorites here. Recently, Fortuna Koln W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Weinberg W averaged 0.89 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Fortuna Koln W won 1, Weinberg W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 8, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Fortuna Koln W and 1.06 for Weinberg W. This points to a Fortuna Koln W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Fortuna Koln W
15%
Draws
23%
Weinberg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Koln W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Fortuna Koln W picked up more points recently compared to Weinberg W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Fortuna Koln W Clean Sheet 22%
Weinberg W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln W Weinberg W
Matches Played 14 28
Wins 5 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Fortuna Koln W vs Weinberg W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortuna Koln W Compare

Top Goalscorer Streller S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schwing V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Weinberg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schneider P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln W 60 / 100
Weinberg W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln W Weinberg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Koln W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Fortuna Koln W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortuna Koln W attacking → ← attacking Weinberg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln W scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Weinberg W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Fortuna Koln W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Weinberg W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 20
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25