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Fortuna Regensburg vs ASV Neumarkt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Fortuna Regensburg and ASV Neumarkt finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fortuna Regensburg
30%
Draws
23%
ASV Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortuna Regensburg come out ahead of ASV Neumarkt on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Regensburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fortuna Regensburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 18%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg ASV Neumarkt
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs ASV Neumarkt
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:0
Jul 22, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs ASV Neumarkt
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs ASV Neumarkt
3:2
Sep 7, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 85 / 100
ASV Neumarkt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg ASV Neumarkt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

ASV Neumarkt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Fortuna Regensburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS ASV Neumarkt
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Regensburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Aschaffenburg
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
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ASV Neumarkt

(Away)
09 Oct
Neudrossenfeld
4 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
03 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
5 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
6 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
11 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)