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Fortuna Regensburg vs Grossbardorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Fortuna Regensburg and Grossbardorf finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Fortuna Regensburg
20%
Draws
22%
Grossbardorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Grossbardorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fortuna Regensburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 16%
Grossbardorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg Grossbardorf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Grossbardorf
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 84 / 100
Grossbardorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg Grossbardorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fortuna Regensburg scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Grossbardorf let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fortuna Regensburg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS Grossbardorf
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Regensburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Aschaffenburg
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
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Grossbardorf

(Away)
10 Oct
Gebenbach
1 : 4
Grossbardorf
03 Oct
Grossbardorf
0 : 1
Cham
26 Sept
Stadeln
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
18 Sept
Grossbardorf
0 : 3
Bamberg
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
3 Gebenbach 14 8 2 4 23:17 26
4 Bamberg 14 7 4 3 24:13 25
5 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
6 Bayern Hof 14 6 5 3 31:23 23
7 Regensburg II 14 6 5 3 28:22 23
8 Aschaffenburg 14 6 3 5 26:20 21
9 Fortuna Regensburg 14 6 3 5 31:22 21
10 Stadeln 14 5 5 4 17:20 20
11 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
12 DJK Ammerthal 14 4 3 7 18:27 15
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 14 3 4 7 21:30 13
15 Grossbardorf 14 4 1 9 16:26 13
16 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
17 Nordlingen 14 2 4 8 14:31 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)