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Fortuna Regensburg vs Stadeln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Fortuna Regensburg and Stadeln finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fortuna Regensburg
20%
Draws
28%
Stadeln
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortuna Regensburg come out ahead of Stadeln on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fortuna Regensburg a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fortuna Regensburg have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 18%
Stadeln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg Stadeln
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Stadeln
4:1
Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Stadeln
5:1
Aug 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Stadeln vs Fortuna Regensburg
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 85 / 100
Stadeln 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg Stadeln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Fortuna Regensburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stadeln has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS Stadeln
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Regensburg

(Home)
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
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Stadeln

(Away)
03 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 0
Gebenbach
26 Sept
Stadeln
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
05 Sept
Bayern Hof
2 : 1
Stadeln
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 13 11 1 1 30:8 34
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
5 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
6 TSV Kornburg 13 5 6 2 23:13 21
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
11 Neudrossenfeld 13 5 1 7 16:22 16
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 13 3 4 6 20:26 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 13 1 3 9 10:23 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)