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Fortuna Regensburg vs Stadeln

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Fortuna Regensburg and Stadeln finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fortuna Regensburg
11%
Draws
9%
Stadeln
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Stadeln haven't matched Fortuna Regensburg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fortuna Regensburg a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 20%
Stadeln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg Stadeln
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Stadeln
5:1
Aug 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Stadeln vs Fortuna Regensburg
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 76 / 100
Stadeln 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg Stadeln

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fortuna Regensburg scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Stadeln let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Fortuna Regensburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS Stadeln
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620