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Fortune Sacco vs MOFA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Fortune Sacco and MOFA finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fortune Sacco
35%
Draws
26%
MOFA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortune Sacco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortune Sacco come out ahead of MOFA on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fortune Sacco Clean Sheet 16%
MOFA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortune Sacco MOFA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 13
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Super League
Fortune Sacco vs MOFA
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Fortune Sacco
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Fortune Sacco
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Fortune Sacco vs MOFA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortune Sacco 31 / 100
MOFA 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortune Sacco MOFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortune Sacco scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

MOFA let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fortune Sacco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortune Sacco VS MOFA
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortune Sacco

(Home)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
22 May
Talanta FC
4 : 3
Fortune Sacco
Page 1 of 6

MOFA

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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