Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2023

Forward Madison

Tue, Apr 11, 2023

2 - 3

11:00 PM

Chicago House

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Chaney C.

19'

Onen J.

Assist: Cichero M.

22'

Seymour S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Chicago House advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Forward Madison

20%

Draws

34%

Chicago House

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forward Madison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Forward Madison carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Forward Madison a 46% chance of winning this.
Forward Madison have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chicago House, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Forward Madison Clean Sheet 20%

Chicago House Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Forward Madison	Chicago House
Matches Played	32	22
Wins	16	9
Draws	6	2
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.91	1
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	2.23	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2023 US Open Cup

Forward Madison vs Chicago House

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Onen J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vasquez C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.72

Avg xA / game 1.11

Chicago House Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith A. R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Mann A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 85 / 100

Chicago House 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Forward Madison Chicago House

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forward Madison scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Chicago House has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Solid form: Forward Madison remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS -

3.25 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forward Madison

(Home)

19 Sept

Forward Madison

3 : 0

AV Alta FC

16 Sept

Chattanooga Red Wolves

1 : 0

Forward Madison

12 Sept

Forward Madison

1 : 1

Sarasota Paradise

06 Sept

Corpus Christi FC

0 : 2

Forward Madison

03 Sept

Forward Madison

1 : 1

One Knoxville

Page 1 of 7

Chicago House

(Away)

21 Mar

Chicago House

0 : 3

Minnesota United 2

27 Apr

Chicago Fire

3 : 0

Chicago House

11 Apr

Forward Madison

2 : 3

Chicago House

23 Mar

Chicago House

1 : 0

Bavarian United SC

21 Nov

Chicago House

1 : 3

California United

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico -

TBD -

UDA Soccer 1

Park City 0

Phoenix Rising -

TBD -

Greenville Triumph -

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Forward Madison -

TBD -

Chicago House 1

Bavarian United SC 0

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Union Omaha -

TBD -

El Paso Locomotive -

Tampa Bay -

TBD -

Club de Lyon 2 0

Nona 1

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Sporting Kansas City -

TBD -

FC Tulsa -

TBD -

Tulsa Athletic 1

Twin City Toucans 0

Detroit City -

TBD -

Gold Star FC -

TBD -

Minnesota United -

TBD -

Philadelphia Union -

Sacramento Republic -

TBD -

Project 51O 0

Crossfire Redmond 3

Oakland Roots -

TBD -

El Farolito 3

International San Francisco 0

Colorado Rapids -

TBD -

Colorado Springs -

TBD -

Northern Colorado -

Portland Timbers -

TBD -

Orange County SC -

TBD -

Ventura 1

Capo 4

Las Vegas Lights -

TBD -

LA Force -

TBD -

Real Salt Lake -

Central Valley Fuego -

TBD -

Monterey Bay -

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

TBD -

Los Angeles FC -

Los Angeles Galaxy -

TBD -

Seattle Sounders -

TBD -

San Diego Loyal -

TBD -

Albion San Diego -

New York Red Bulls -

TBD -

DC United -

TBD -

Richmond Kickers -

TBD -

Cleveland 1

Lionsbridge 0

FC Cincinnati -

TBD -

Louisville City -

TBD -

Lexington -

TBD -

New York City -

New England Revolution -

TBD -

Hartford Athletic -

TBD -

Hartford City FC 1

Lansdowne Yonkers 2

Pittsburgh Riverhounds -

TBD -

Rochester New York -

Maryland Bobcats -

TBD -

West Chester United 1

Ocean City 3

Loudoun United -

TBD -

North Carolina FC -

Flower City Union -

TBD -

Manhattan 2

Motown 1

Columbus Crew -

TBD -

Indy Eleven -

TBD -

Michigan Stars -

Chattanooga Red Wolves -

TBD -

Birmingham Legion -

Tennessee Tempo 0

Menace 3

TBD -

Chattanooga -

Atlanta United -

TBD -

One Knoxville -

TBD -

Memphis 901 -

Charlotte FC -

TBD -

South Georgia Tormenta -

TBD -

Rio Grande Valley FC Toros -

TBD -

Orlando City -

Miami FC -

TBD -

Jacksonville Armada U23 2

Miami United 1

TBD -

Inter Miami -

Charleston -

TBD -

Savannah Clovers -

Charlotte Independence -

TBD -

Appalachian FC 3

North Carolina Fusion U23 2

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Club de Lyon -

TBD -

San Antonio FC -

TBD -

FC Dallas -

1/64-finals

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico 6

UDA Soccer 0

Phoenix Rising 1

Greenville Triumph 0

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Forward Madison 2

Chicago House 3

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Union Omaha 2

El Paso Locomotive 0

Tampa Bay 2

Nona 0

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Sporting Kansas City -

TBD -

FC Tulsa 0

Tulsa Athletic 1

Detroit City 1

Gold Star FC 0

TBD -

Minnesota United -

TBD -

Philadelphia Union -

Sacramento Republic 5

Crossfire Redmond 4

Oakland Roots 3

El Farolito 1

Colorado Rapids -

TBD -

Colorado Springs 1

Northern Colorado 3

Portland Timbers -

TBD -

Orange County SC 5

Capo 0

Las Vegas Lights 4

LA Force 0

TBD -

Real Salt Lake -

Central Valley Fuego 1

Monterey Bay 3

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

TBD -

Los Angeles FC -

Los Angeles Galaxy -

TBD -

Seattle Sounders -

TBD -

San Diego Loyal 2

Albion San Diego 0

New York Red Bulls -

TBD -

DC United -

TBD -

Richmond Kickers 3

Cleveland 2

FC Cincinnati -

TBD -

Louisville City 1

Lexington 0

TBD -

New York City -

New England Revolution -

TBD -

Hartford Athletic 3

Lansdowne Yonkers 0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

Rochester New York 0

Maryland Bobcats 3

Ocean City 2

Loudoun United 2

North Carolina FC 1

Flower City Union 3

Manhattan 1

Columbus Crew -

TBD -

Indy Eleven 3

Michigan Stars 1

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1

Birmingham Legion 4

Menace 1

Chattanooga 4

Atlanta United -

TBD -

One Knoxville 1

Memphis 901 2

Charlotte FC -

TBD -

South Georgia Tormenta 2

Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 1

TBD -

Orlando City -

Miami FC 3

Jacksonville Armada U23 1

TBD -

Inter Miami -

Charleston 4

Savannah Clovers 1

Charlotte Independence 2

Appalachian FC 0

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Club de Lyon 1

San Antonio FC 2

TBD -

FC Dallas -

1/32-finals

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico 2

Phoenix Rising 1

Chicago Fire 3

Chicago House 0

St. Louis City 5

Union Omaha 1

Tampa Bay 0

Houston Dynamo 1

Sporting Kansas City 3

Tulsa Athletic 0

Detroit City 1

Minnesota United 3

TBD -

Philadelphia Union -

Sacramento Republic 1

Oakland Roots 0

Colorado Rapids 3

Northern Colorado 1

Portland Timbers 3

Orange County SC 1

Las Vegas Lights 1

Real Salt Lake 3

Monterey Bay 1

San Jose Earthquakes 0

TBD -

Los Angeles FC -

Los Angeles Galaxy -

TBD -

Seattle Sounders 5

San Diego Loyal 4

New York Red Bulls -

TBD -

DC United 1

Richmond Kickers 0

FC Cincinnati 1

Louisville City 0

TBD -

New York City -

New England Revolution 2

Hartford Athletic 1

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2

Maryland Bobcats 0

Loudoun United 5

Flower City Union 0

Columbus Crew 1

Indy Eleven 0

Birmingham Legion 2

Chattanooga 1

Atlanta United 1

Memphis 901 2

Charlotte FC 4

South Georgia Tormenta 1

TBD -

Orlando City -

Miami FC 2

Inter Miami 3

Charleston 1

Charlotte Independence 0

Nashville SC 1

San Antonio FC 0

TBD -

FC Dallas -

1/16-finals

Austin FC 2

New Mexico 0

Chicago Fire 2

St. Louis City 1

Houston Dynamo 1

Sporting Kansas City 0

Minnesota United 4

Philadelphia Union 3

Sacramento Republic 2

Colorado Rapids 4

Portland Timbers 3

Real Salt Lake 4

Monterey Bay 2

Los Angeles FC 3

Los Angeles Galaxy 3

Seattle Sounders 1

New York Red Bulls 1

DC United 0

FC Cincinnati 1

New York City 0

New England Revolution 0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

Loudoun United 1

Columbus Crew 5

Birmingham Legion 3

Memphis 901 0

Charlotte FC 1

Orlando City 0

Inter Miami 1

Charleston 0

Nashville SC 2

FC Dallas 0

1/8-finals

Austin FC 0

Chicago Fire 2

Houston Dynamo 4

Minnesota United 0

Colorado Rapids 0

Real Salt Lake 1

Los Angeles FC 0

Los Angeles Galaxy 2

New York Red Bulls 1

FC Cincinnati 2

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

Columbus Crew 0

Birmingham Legion 1

Charlotte FC 0

Inter Miami 2

Nashville SC 1

Quarter-finals

Chicago Fire 1

Houston Dynamo 4

Real Salt Lake 3

Los Angeles Galaxy 2

FC Cincinnati 3

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

Birmingham Legion 0

Inter Miami 1

Semi-finals

Houston Dynamo 3

Real Salt Lake 1

FC Cincinnati 3

Inter Miami 4

Final

Houston Dynamo 2

Inter Miami 1

Forward Madison vs Chicago House

USA

Forward Madison

Chicago House

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Forward Madison Compare

Chicago House Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Forward Madison

Chicago House

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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