Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
27'
27'
Nour M.
28'
28'
Nour M.
40'
40'
Fricke B.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Forward Madison and Greenville Triumph finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forward Madison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Forward Madison carry the better recent record into this one.
- Forward Madison are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
1:1
Jun 3, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
3:1
May 4, 2024 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Top Goalscorer Karamoko H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Nour M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 85 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison Greenville Triumph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Greenville Triumph let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Difficult form: Greenville Triumph registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Forward Madison's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS Greenville Triumph
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 4
Greenville Triumph
(Away) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
08 Aug
Charlotte Independence
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38:33 | 46 |
| 6 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 47:40 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46:45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27:56 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
