Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
AI Match Summary
Forward Madison host Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Portland Hearts of Pine have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Forward Madison have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.77. Head-to-head, Forward Madison have won 2 to Portland Hearts of Pine's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Forward Madison to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Forward Madison carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Forward Madison's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Forward Madison here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.
Forward Madison's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Forward Madison remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home)Portland Hearts of Pine
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
