Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers

USA USA

USL League One Breese Stevens Field
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Fillion Y.
30' Event
Toure K.
42'
Barnathan D.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Forward Madison and Richmond Kickers finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward Madison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Forward Madison
6%
Draws
4%
Richmond Kickers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Forward Madison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Forward Madison carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Forward Madison's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 68%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Madison Richmond Kickers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
1:2
Jul 4, 2024 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carmichael R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Richmond Kickers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 95 / 100
Richmond Kickers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Madison Richmond Kickers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Richmond Kickers has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Forward Madison has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Forward Madison scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS Richmond Kickers
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
5Forward Madison1482426:1426
6AV Alta FC1767423:1925
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1655625:2620
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310