Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forward Madison host Union Omaha in the USL League One. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Forward Madison at 1.73 goals for, 1.17 against; Union Omaha at 1.8 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Union Omaha slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.13, favoring Union Omaha. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Forward Madison
15%
Draws
48%
Union Omaha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Union Omaha have won more games recently than Forward Madison.
  • Forward Madison are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 20%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Madison Union Omaha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.73 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
4:3
Apr 11, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
4:0
Jun 8, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
0:1
May 3, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 42 / 100
Union Omaha 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Madison Union Omaha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Omaha let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Forward Madison's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Forward Madison went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS Union Omaha
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forward Madison

(Home)
17 Oct
Forward Madison
2 : 0
Portland Hearts of Pine
10 Oct
Westchester SC
3 : 2
Forward Madison
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

Union Omaha

(Away)
17 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1
Union Omaha
10 Oct
Union Omaha
0 : 1
Fort Wayne
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 31 20 6 5 73:42 66
2 Union Omaha 31 19 4 8 54:34 61
3 Forward Madison 31 16 7 8 54:30 55
4 Athletic Club Boise 31 16 7 8 49:41 55
5 One Knoxville 32 15 9 8 52:36 54
6 Spokane Velocity 30 16 5 9 47:40 53
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 14 4 13 50:44 46
8 Fort Wayne 31 12 9 10 47:40 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 31 11 6 14 53:49 39
11 Sarasota Paradise 30 11 6 13 45:46 39
12 Corpus Christi FC 31 9 9 13 34:49 36
13 AV Alta FC 31 8 9 14 38:46 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 31 7 10 14 44:57 31
15 Greenville Triumph 31 7 6 18 36:60 27
16 Richmond Kickers 31 7 5 19 37:64 26
17 New York Cosmos 30 7 4 19 36:62 25
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)