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Fossombrone vs AS Sora

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone Logo

Fossombrone

0 - 0
FT
AS Sora Logo

AS Sora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Fossombrone and AS Sora finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fossombrone
20%
Draws
51%
AS Sora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Sora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fossombrone come out ahead of AS Sora on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Sora a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 22%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossombrone AS Sora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs AS Sora
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Fossombrone
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs AS Sora
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Fossombrone
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs AS Sora
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossombrone 21 / 100
AS Sora 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossombrone AS Sora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Sora has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Fossombrone scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Fossombrone went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fossombrone VS AS Sora
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossombrone

(Home)
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Fossombrone
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1
Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Ancona
Page 1 of 6

AS Sora

(Away)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
AS Sora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F (Play Out)