Sport Picks
Fossombrone vs Roma City Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 
Match Events
16'
16'
Camilloni N.
19'
19'
Casolla F.
45'
45'
Omohonria E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Fossombrone and Roma City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fossombrone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fossombrone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fossombrone come out ahead of Roma City on wins alone.
- Model gives Fossombrone a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 20%
Roma City Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fossombrone | Roma City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Roma City
3:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Fossombrone
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Fossombrone
0:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Roma City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fossombrone Compare
Top Goalscorer Camilloni N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Casolla F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Roma City Compare
Top Goalscorer Omohonria E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ofoma C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fossombrone 40 / 100
Roma City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fossombrone Roma City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fossombrone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Roma City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Fossombrone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fossombrone scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Fossombrone VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fossombrone
(Home) 04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1 Fossombrone
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4 Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4 Lanciano FC
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
29 Mar
Fossombrone
1 : 0 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Roma City
(Away) 11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0 Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0 Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0 Roma City
Page 1 of 6
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0 Roma City
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Roma City
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0 Roma City
30 Mar
Fossombrone
3 : 2 Roma City
02 Mar
Fermana
1 : 1 Roma City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
