Sport Picks
Fossombrone vs Termoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 
AI Match Summary
Fossombrone host Termoli in the Serie D - Group F. This one's hard to separate. Termoli have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Fossombrone have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.82. Head-to-head, Fossombrone have won 2 to Termoli's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.25) back Fossombrone to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fossombrone have won more games recently than Termoli.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fossombrone | Termoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Termoli conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Fossombrone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Fossombrone scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fossombrone
(Home)Termoli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aquila Calcio | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Teramo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Foligno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Ancona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Fossombrone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Notaresco Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Santegidiese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Giulianova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Termoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Atletico Ascoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 16 | Angelana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Sporting Trestina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
